dnlm21 Sep 2012 22:31
With the British Retail Consortium (BRC) revealing that August's like-for-like UK retail sales had slipped 0.4 per cent year-on-year, it's clearly a tough time to be a retailer. Admittedly, some of that weakness was down to consumers diverting their attention to the Olympics. But, with the UK economy shrinking by 0.5 per cent in the second quarter, consumer sentiment isn't set to recover anytime soon - bad news for all consumer-facing businesses, including homeware retailer Dunelm.
Not that Dunelm has been a poor performer - far from it. When the group released full-year results last week, the business appeared to buck the weakening trend within the retail sector by revealing like-for-like sales growth of 3.1 per cent for the year to end-June. Dunelm experienced an especially robust final quarter with like-for-like sales for the 13 weeks to end-June surging over 10 per cent. Accordingly, Dunelm grew operating profit by 14.3 per cent in the financial year to £95.2m and, buoyed by a cash-rich balance sheet, management plans to return £65.8m of excess capital in November, worth 32.5p a share, through a B/C share scheme.
Indeed, Dunelm's quality isn't in doubt - the uncertainty arises over whether it can maintain such a quality performance. The UK's exceptionally wet summer, for instance, meant a big one-off boost for retailers such as Dunelm, as rain-weary consumers made their way to the shelter of its superstores instead of spending their cash on outdoor pursuits. Management estimates that at least half of the growth seen in the last quarter was weather-related - so, with more typical weather conditions having apparently returned, the weak consumer backdrop looks like much more of a threat. It's a threat that Dunelm acknowledges. "Looking ahead, we remain cautious of the UK consumer environment and its impact on our trading in the near term," said chief executive Nick Wharton