RE: Added13 Feb 2018 07:49
Thanks Mike.
See if I can continue being right with this forecast...
The sp will continue to drift south until news.
First news will cause a brief spike to 12p or so. But will finish the day flat or even slightly down as people sell into news with the knowledge of a placement to come.
Next news will be the fund raise. Sp will drop heavily after that, given the historic rig delays, profit taking on placement shares etc and usual poor bod perfomance. Bottoming just below the placement price.
Final stage, in late March or probably April will be the start of a rise to rig news , spud etc. My bet is that the bottom is below 7p. Possibly below 6p. Due to heavy dilution and more delays. And that on rig news we see 10-14p. And a possible brief 20p during the drill. (Bear in mind the mcap here will be at its highest ever due to the dilution)
The other significant possibility is very ugly, but needs to be in the mix, and that is the downward trajectory continues for many months. Several placements. Many more licence and other delays. Diluted to oblivion. And then the bod buy some shares!
IG