RE: My theory25 Jan 2022 18:29
Well, like most Ive been wiped out over the last few trading days.
The only silver lining was I “only” lost £40k Over the last year instead of £80k because I held spreads and not vanilla stock.
The Company and FCA could have done many things different and returned a greater sum to all parties but not to be.
Debt holders have had £600m returned to them over last few years, bonds trading at 50-65p in the £ last year we’re repurchased at par, lending never restarted, and shareholders Have lost 99.93% since IPO
I’m Lucky enough to have squirrelled away a few quid from 2020 trading and it’s locked up where I can’t touch it, or it too would have been lost here, but many others are not that fortunate.
The FCA prolonging the death has only caused more harm and loss for all parties, the few pence difference on table for the year longer that it will take in a best case scenario doesn’t help as many claimants have had to use other providers charging much higher rates and will have to continue to do so in the future with less access to lower rate competition in the future.
Amigo had a great offer and a great product for the market place it operated, it took people from the 100-1000% providers and loan sharks and was a stepping stone for many to conventional credit.
The idea forward can work if it gets the chance, with the lower rates it will have to be all equity driven as debt financing at the rates in market now will make the product unviable for amigo to supply. That’s why the dilution looks so hard.
I don’t buy the idea of keeping the share price lower, I don’t buy the need for wiping shareholder out even more, somehow speculative share prices were able to be used against the company and a regulator who attacks shareholders and makes the rules up as they go along has no place in the market so it’s impossible for me to justify any UK lending in the future.
Amigo met all the legal criteria in the first court session and the judge / fca span around it.
Reading the fca release today although it reads as if they wrote that material specifically for amigo I just can’t see the fca allowing amigo to lend again, not as the company we know, there is more to life then this.
There will be a chance to flip a few % in to bounces and rallies, there is a chance for more if all goes to plan, the risk vs reward is so high now it’s eye watering and would still draw me in.
Collectively shareholders have lost more than amigo has ever billed in interest, shareholders are the biggest losing party because the FCA approved the listing, approved the lending procedures, and enabled the whole thing. And to screw the remaining few just because a handful actually made money in 2020 / 2021 trading off the Covid relief frenzy? Just mad .
Hug your love ones, take the hit as experience, learn from
Others and don’t be ashamed, it was a good bet, it just didn’t work.
Good luck to all, and to all a good night.