It does seem to move fast on little volume - up 25-30% at one point this week? Little buys or sells does seem to move it.
The royalties are overdue according to the rns, but I think the overriding £2m pa period started 01/07/24 and ends 30/06/25, which is why we should see the balance of the £2m this quarter at some point.
If Huo wants the price down, perhaps he’s thinking of increasing his holding shortly. Given he recently bought 6% directly in monaf, perhaps he's now wanting a bigger piece of CGO or a variation on the deal to give him more equity.
The definitive agreements haven’t been signed yet and the loans are due to be paid back. Both this month I think. Maybe it’s all coming together at month end.