RE: Trump's War2 Apr 2026 08:54
The pisitive impact on FCF for Navitas for sure is good news. Two other aspects of ipside:
1) as oft mentioned, our assets are some way distant from the Middle East, this is likely to be part of Majors investment decisions now.
2) those majors now need to increase reserves as economies begin to admit Net Zero by 2050 is difficult and economic suicide. So oil demand will remain a larger part of the mix. Hence, with increased Free Cash Flow they can spend to explore, acquire, farm in to replace the reserves and our prospects could have significant value geographically and for what can be quick time to first oil and speedy timeframe to repay investment (2-2.5yrs to first oil and 3 years to repay $7bn capital cost at $30 netback on 200k bopd).
So in 5ish years it is almost all straight to bottom line.