RE: Depressing24 Nov 2023 08:27
Latest WH Ireland note says dividend is safe even under car crsh scenario and the co is mispriced:-
What-if analysis run at WTI $60/b and US natural gas at $2.50/mmbtu A summary of our hypothetical “Car Crash” commodity price scenario analysis is outlined in Table 1, which provides increased confidence, we believe, in i3 Energy’s capacity to fund its dividend under adverse conditions. Notably, the dividend yield is an attractive 10.3%. Effectively, our analysis reinforces our view that i3 Energy is mispriced. Details for our “Car Crash” commodity price scenario are provided in Tables 2, 3, 4 and 5. We reiterate our 20.9p fair value estimate, which is premised on a 5x EV/2024 CF multiple assuming a WTI oil price of $84/b and a benchmark US gas price of $3.26/mmbtu.