Technical analysis, WEEK 2: Valirx18 Oct 2020 20:33
Here is a weekly update!
1) Friday volume was the highest volume since 9th October. Volume is very important in TA. (Increase in SP with increase in volume is bullish)
2) Highest share price close(26.5p) since 2nd October. Previously we have had moves to 26p-28.50p but we have hold off. The closing price 26.5p is bullish.
3) Bullish candle on the daily and weekly (DRAGONFLY DOJI). (Weekly INSIDE candle= pressure building) + weekly reversal candle.) Bullish.
3) I would like us to CLOSE above 29p to confirm the bullish move. A break of 29p will be EXTREMELY BULLISH! Break out of weekly channel! Very positive confirmation.
4) Fib retracement levels: 22p (tested and defended three times in last three weeks), 29.5p, 38p, and 56.40p. 38p is the next level up.
5) KEY INDICATORS: CCI/RSI starting to move up, MACD, the distance between the moving averages is reducing, a bullish crossover is imminent! STOCHASTIC is moving up (this week we have moved from 2.29 to 14.37. I break of 20 will be very bullish and this could coincide with a close above 29p).
6) 50 DMA has been a very good support for the SP. I was never expecting a “touch and go” move. We have spent several days at the 50 DMA and a move up is the nature course.
MY PLAN THIS WEEK:
I want to see follow through on Monday/Tuesday to confirm my bullish thesis. If we have a positive start then I feel the downward move is over! I will be adding to my holding as we move higher.
I think volume will come from spread betting/CFD companies who need to buy the stock as we break a key channel support! I think this was happening on Friday afternoon! Otherwise, they will have significant losses and cause a spike!
Market Markers: Level 2!
We have
2 at 27p
2 at 28p
1 at 30p
1 at 31 p
1 at 32p
Again a break of 28p-29p will be very bullish! This should take us to 32p-38p or higher! Few big buys in the morning we can take out 28/29p quickly.