Current position4 Oct 2021 15:40
Hey Trolls, something for you to get your teeth into.
If you take the trouble to read the report and accounts, the following is important.
Average bopd 84, average price was $63.28. loss $269k. The big freeze and the storms that hit took a big chunk of the production out for a while. So, assuming no big hit in H2 the numbers would look something like this.
Current WTI price is $76.97. Assume average sale price is $72 and all the production is back up, so production averages 100 bopd and the production costs stay about the same.
100 x $72 x 365/2 = $1,314,000.
H1 revenue was $963.000
Delta is $351,000.
So on that basis NTOG is profitable for H2 BEFORE it drills Cypress 2, before it does the Permian Basin workover and before it does its aggressive workover and reconnection programme.
Obviously, you can play around with the numbers a bit: current BOPD might be a bit higher or lower, WTI might be a bit higher but nonetheless it is there or thereabouts.
Cypress 2 should come in about 20bopd net to NTOG, Permian Basin about the same and then you have the workover and reconnection programme. By year end NTOG should be able to add maybe 60/80 bopd. It doesn't need to but it looks likely that it will.
What that means is going into 2022 it will be cashflow positive and profitable. So it should be able to cashflow any work needed on the Tunisian asset.
Keep your chins up, you are doing a great job with all the trolling.
DYOR