RE: Rubbish investment advisor3 Dec 2024 14:05
Boring Boy, this really does show your limited understanding.
Regardless of the price it is still dilution. The warrants will only get exercised if the share price is at a significant premium over the warrant exercise price. It is 18 months extra life.
If the share price is much higher than the warrant exercise price, why would it be at that level. Well I would suggest that it can only be off the back of serious good news. What good news? Well the lateral has been successfully completed, the flows are good, the EUR is good on the well and a new CPR can be produced for the field giving a decent NPV. So lets suppose that is the story: well, a competent BOD would not issue equity, they would take out RBL (look it up).
So if things work out, no need for equity funding. If it doesn't work out, who cares? The extension gives a free ride to the holders at nil cost to them now. So why would the company do it? Well it can only be that in some way or other they are a favoured group. Now it could be that they are people who would do RBL or BIAPO but nonetheless why have they been given a sweetener now? Would they give better terms in 18/24 months time because they had a sweetener now? I don't know.
You need to learn how to think like a corporate finance guy if you want to understand these things.
Anyway back to doing something useful: again, look it up.
DYOR