RE: Sark, chance of success of finding movable hydrocarbons in this robust structure of 65%16 Jul 2025 08:45
They will have done all the DD on the things they farm into. My own observation is that it looks like most of the pre UJO wells Reach drilled seem to have had a similar profile, rapid decline but a long term stable but low production rate. They were, and continue to be, explicit in suggesting payback in months, "Typical wells drilled in the Wilzetta Fault can produce approximately 250 barrels of oil per day providing pay-back within three months." - Annual Results May. however it seems that it has at least to date there has been an underestimation , either in terms of decline rates or they weren't as successful in terms of the expected geological outcomes, we don't actually know which Im not sure it's helpful either, putting out caveated flow rates and chance of success numbers like "open hole" flow of 621 bpd based on a few hours initial testing and 65% cos of "moveable hydrocarbons" - when most investors don't really understand what these caveats actually mean.
kim_clay ( ADVFN)