RE: Key thing in Farm Out negs1 Nov 2018 13:48
Exclusivity Deal - Repost from last month
Bahamas Petroleum Company plc (BPC). We can maybe draw some close comparisons to their exclusivity deal with a major oil company (which eventually fell through) to perhaps how the 88E farm-out with a tier one major will unfold. I must admit it has got me quite excited.
Here is a timeline of events with share price reaction for BPC:
1) 3rd May 2018 - RNS announcement of 'Confidentiality and Exclusivity Agreement with a major international oil company'. Three month exclusivity agreement with option to extend for another three months. Non-refundable cash payment of US$250,000 for each month of talks.
>>>Share price rises intraday 190% from 1.05p to 3.15p<<<
2) 26th July 2018 - RNS to confirm that the initial three month period has expired and the exclusivity period is extended by one month. US$750,000 received to date for exclusivity talks with additional US$250,000 to come.
>>>Share price continues to make strong gains, now up 395% from 1.05p to 5.20p<<<
3) 6th August 2018 - The CEO proposed substantial changes to his compensation package to dramatically reduce cash costs to shareholders
>>>Share price is now 6.6p. Up 528% since confidentiality agreement signed 3 months ago<<<
4) 9th August 2018 - Share price peak reached
>>>Share price at its peak of 7.15p. Up 580% since confidentiality agreement signed 3 and a bit months ago<<<
5) 24th August 2018. No deal. RNS to confirm 'Cessation of Exclusivity Agreement'
>>>Share price falls 6.35p to 1.98p, intraday drop of 68%<<<
In short, some spectacular gains (580%) in a short time frame of 4 months just on a 'Confidentiality and Exclusivity Agreement with a major international oil company'. Ultimately, no deal was secured for BPC and that is obviously something we do not want to happen with 88E. But it does give an idea of what might happen here short term.
Remember, we have now entered Q4 and as per the presentation DW aims to have the Icewine conventional farm out concluded by the end of this quarter. But if a major wants extra time he will give it, similar story to the BPC case which had a one month extension. We are now in that time period for a similar deal to be announced.