RE: News soon26 Jul 2021 10:14
Solid RNS and very exciting... Ahead of schedule.
Though what caught my eye though is the exceptional low net-cost to LBE of taking part in these drills.
> with a pre-carry net cost to Longboat of c.$5 million (c.$1m post tax).
So : LBE have staked just $1 million to take part in a drill which could discover a 15% share of 200 million barrels.
30 million barrels could be worth ~$120 million ($4 / barrel). So even moderate success in just this first drill could see the share price / market cap significantly higher than the Β£38 million LBE currently valued at.
> The Geological Chance of Success associated with this prospect is 25%
Exploration always a risk - though teading between lines I think the management has chosen these assets for a reason and believe chance of success to be a little higher? They have had drilling success nearby with Faroe and something made them come back. Also : average drilling success rate in Norway in recent years has been closer to 50%.
Egyptian Vulture seems one of the higher risk / higher reward drills? Early success will see this fly : however if not LBE have lined up x7 bites of the cherry, on similar terms, over next 18 months.
Good luck all!