Massively undervalued19 Jul 2024 09:26
Reminded of some of the positives here:
1. Positive Q1 update, 100% up on last years same period with over 100% of FY23/24 revenues already on the order book for this year. https://tinyurl.com/2cchbyc8
2. Company chosen as the antibody partner for a billion dollar diagnostic company and generating multiple projects under a Master Service Agreement this year.
https://tinyurl.com/mpadxmas
3. Company’s unique and proprietary world class Human Antibody technology being tested and validated by the USA National Cancer Institute which couldn’t be a better partner to do so. If they successfully complete this will open door to massive licensing deal opportunities.
https://tinyurl.com/4mnahn27
4. CEO confirmed at the latest investor meets company meeting that they are one of a consortium of Life Sciences companies in Northern Ireland bidding for a large amount of grant funding which was looking more positive now government has returned and referenced in an NI government action plan for the sector recently published.
5. Company has developed new technologies to keep them at the cutting edge of industry, including their new licencable and low cost Optiphage technology https://tinyurl.com/z4vk55ke and their AI/ML antibody discovery technologies https://tinyurl.com/4967xdvr .
6. Company has received recent contracts from existing biotech client for their integrated service (https://tinyurl.com/bdz7r5my and https://tinyurl.com/5ext2cu6 where they retain royalty and milestone interests. CEO stated it’s possible that other milestones or royalties will be triggered in this year.
7. Company is diversifying into adjacent markets including vet med, diagnostics and research to broaden its existing VC funded base.
8. The VC base seems to be returning, with the XBI index hitting over $100USD demonstrating good recovery in the sector.
9. Company involved in project to develop unique algorithms for Fusion Antibodies with Oxford University Proteomics team, funded by UKRI Grant funding. https://tinyurl.com/5f2s5x9r
Overall, very encouraging prospects for the company and a definite buy at these prices. The most recent note from Allenby capital on their valuation sums it up for me…
Valuation
Fusion's market capitalisation is £3.3m, suggesting an EV of £2.1m, based on year £1.2m end cash. We consider this to represent an interesting special situation geared to the success of Fusion's recovery plan, where almost no value is currently being ascribed to its class leading antibody discovery technologies. This unusual situation has arisen as a result of the steep decline in revenue Fusion experienced in H2 FY23 that extended into FY24.
Given there is evidence of a turnaround in its fortunes and helped by an improved funding environment for biotech generally and its order book is now on an upward trajectory, our investment thesis is that investors will start to recognise the value inherent in Fusion's class leading antib