RE: Sp8 Feb 2020 19:21
1. There seems to be a demand from owners of Africa Oil to put some energy to their shareprice. A stake in a 700 MMB might be / seems to be an alternative for the CEO of AOI as well as the CEO of ECO. Tullow will be given an offer. My reference is Mr Hills presentation i Stockholm and the interview with the CEO of ECO.
2. Will Tullow prefer an increased number of shares rather than a dilution in the acctual block / drilltarget down from 60% to X% and carried? It's their decision, but a success/failiur being carried in one or two of the elephant targets will that prevent Tullow from raising money? No. A drillstart this summer or fall may give Tullow a chance, before drilling, of b o t h farm out the targets a n d raise capital if they find that strategy an alternative. The bottom line here is that all participants recognize the value driver that these drill targets represent.
3. Jethro being commercial is not a question on the degree of sulphur content, but on the API. The sulphur content reduces the price and is therefor a question on the market average expected price for oil. The API has a more absolute meaning, is it possible to lift and transport the oil to the refinery? The indicated API in the in the report we got the other day indicate, to me, that it seems to be around 13, +/- 1%. Meaning that it is possible to produce. Given the water depth it seems that a large field gives the economics a push. There for I think we will see recommendations for two appraisals before a decision is made here. Is the optimism about Jethro so big so that it will compete with one of the two 700 MMB drill targets, drill targets that might change the economics for Tullow over the night if successful? For ECO that question might be of minor interest, both targets adds value, if successful.
No matter if the drilling starts this year or 2021 there seems to be a nice possibillity to gain 100% before the drillresults is presented. For those of us that is fine with that gain for one year of invested capital todays development should be carfully followed. No matter of other peoples time horizones.