2021 anyone???17 Dec 2020 12:33
Just chatting, so don’t have too big a pop.
I think 12 months ago, the majority of us PI’s thought 2020 was going to be transformational. It wasn’t. Although we have seen huge progress in terms of the perceived value from the some of the other prospects, Alpala has largely stood still and most importantly the share price has under-performed by let’s just say 50%. It should be around 55p, let’s say and its around 36p, so for arguments sake, let’s say that this is hugely disappointing whether you are in for the self-mining long term project, or you are in for the take-over short term windfall possibility.
The AGM has shown that all is not rosy at the top of the shareholder tree, and all because NM doesn’t want share dilution and the big 2 obviously do. Other than that and the failed takeover offer to Cornerstone which obviously meant they would vote NM out, what are the prospects for Solgold going forwards?
I cannot see Newcrest and BHP sitting as shareholders. They are both mining giants and whilst they can’t afford to see one of the largest mining prospects in hugely desirable copper proceed without them, where will these 2 be in 12 months time?
I can see 1 cashing their investment in, and NCM has to be that 1. They have no Board rep and with the Chinese knocking at the door, I think 1 scenario is that NCM will sound out a buyer for the holding and leave this to BHP / Chinese.
How can we PI’s see real value growth in our shares, so we are not yo-yoing between 28p and 38p? Surely 2021 must now become the transformational year that 202 wasn’t, admittedly covid has played a part but the Franco Nevada deal has happened and where do we go next year? We have to assume we are mining Alpala and we have to convince the market that we can raise the finance for the capex and set up and then the discounted NPV will start to be seriously considered. The other tenements will see plenty of drilling and RNS updates, but will this be transformational enough next year? I for one, do not think so.
Thoughts / visions / expectations???