Now and After. Massive Potential22 Mar 2020 10:23
At present Novacyt will have unprecedented urgent demand, possibly doing turnover of £30m+ per month if the figures that got announced Friday likely grow which they will. That is £360m per annum revenue. Say a 40% net margin (conservative).
That would give c£144m net profit.
Average earning ratio for pharma's is around 13x so a value of £1.87bn is not fanciful.
People will say but this will be over in twelve months, let us hope that is the case but AFTER it is under control EVERY cold/flu presented globally will need a test and massive contingency stocks will also be needed.
The £10 per share mentioned and laughed at by some could be way too low, work out the numbers, work out the market NOW and AFTER.
A takeover at c £1bn+ would not surprise me.