RE: Production data21 Feb 2022 11:33
Thanks Jasper. Intetesting calculations. Nice to have it confirmed that they are expecting 0.5 to 1.0 mmscfd. That will be presumably due to pressure build up over the last 3 years. I was also assuming they were basing their 3 to 5 times on a baseline of 1 mmscfd, rather than the later lower figures. Would have made the revenue calculation simpler if you had just assumed 1mmscfd at $4.3, giving around the same amount. Irrelevant really, anywhere near those numbers would be a good starting point.
By the way, how set in stone is this $4.3 take off agreement? Presumably, would be higher if being set now? If it cant be changed it makes all the comments on here about soaring gas prices invalid.
Although, as I said those numbers would be great to start with, I dont think we should be too disappointed if they are lower, especially as without the refrac they will decline again. If the refrac gives us even the lower end of around 3 mmscfd and stayed there, that would be a huge success. If not? We dont want to think about that.
Atb. Gla.