20 years on? Gold +525%, Housing +78% (UK), Medical +67% etc25 Apr 2021 00:38
Are we doing alright or what? There is so much bunkum around, I thought I would have a look at some figures in the public domain, over a 20 year period.
Step 1: What is CPI?
CPI stands for Consumer Price Index. CPI is often used interchangeably with inflation because CPI measures the change in prices over time that consumers pay for goods and services.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services
The issue with using CPI to gauge inflation is that it is a basket of goods and services. It is what is included and not included in this basket that causes issues.
CPI puts expenditures into 8 majors groups: food and beverages, housing, apparel, transportation, medical care, recreation, education and communication, and other goods and services.
It does not include investment items, such as stocks, bonds, real estate, and life insurance.
How inflation impacted investment items
It seems we’re paying 56.3% more overall for items since 2000. The purchasing power of money is shrinking. OK
But none of these components have increased as much as investment items such as real estate and stocks, which are not included in inflation (CPI) calculations.
Since 2000, the S&P 500 is up 181% (from $1,469.25 to $4,128.80) and the average home price is up 110% (from $165,300 to $346,800.) ... 78% in UK...
In Australia, same period
Sydney 102%
Melb 131%
Darwin 60%
Canberra 151%
Brisbane 98%
Perth 88%
Adelaide 119%
So if these two categories were included in CPI’s calculation, inflation would be much higher each year.
[The other way of looking at this is that best not to keep cash in the basement }
So in short inflation is higher than the CPI number.
I don’t know what the “true” CPI number would be if you include investment items. Salary 2–3% annually, are you really staying ahead of inflation or are you losing purchasing power?
If real estate and stocks are the simple strategies to get rich, we should all follow suit...or do we invest in something else?
The Federal Reserve?
The federal reserve control the United States monetary system. And since the US went off the gold standard in 1971 their impact has been sensational.
The Fed, directly or indirectly, inflates the prices of investment assets. As a result, “the rich get richer.”
A while back I stumbled across a website, https://wtfhappenedin1971.com/
Its worth a careful look, and do your own research! -> Dont keep $ in bank
It provides a variety of graphs displaying the impact going off the gold standard has had on the economy. Two of the best graphs show the impact it has had on income by percentile.
The other thing you can look at is the POG. In 2000 about $280/oz, Now $1750. That’s 525% increase.
You chose…
Interested in what you think!
Celebrating ANZAC today. Started in Gallipolli. Led to the wrong beach by the elites, and we don't seem to learn?
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