The latest Investing Matters Podcast episode featuring Jeremy Skillington, CEO of Poolbeg Pharma has just been released. Listen here.
Agree Sense and Careful CA brought in the Wolfe for the specific purpose of fully evaluating Hurricane and thereafter Deal brokering .
With end of Financial year upon us , would be interesting to know if this fact would have a financial bearing on company value .
Also the investigation outcome is still pending , is there leverage to be had ?
Expect an update on FCF and production around 16th maybe a pleasant Surprise for a change we shall see .
With Cambo stall and lack of other new projects around UK , Hurricanes value could have increased as easy entry and Tax credits in short supply . Neptune Energy are looking for a vehicle to list in UK . Who knows with US printing press on Full bore , green backs are plentiful 'Show us the Money' springs to mind .
£1 a Share and i'm out .........
How spineless can you get ?
We need Oil and Gas for the next 30 years at least , until Nuclear and other Green tech is on line . By following the USA and giving up Energy self sufficiency to Russia ect we are compromising our National and Financial Security all to please a Vocal minority of rich , Woke zealots .
You don't have to have been to Oxbridge to see this trap , the best thing we can do for the planet as the US proved with reduced emissions is fully develop all remaining UK resources be self sufficient and sell the excess to remove trillions of UK Debt ..... this is what will help the Planet and Future Generations . AIMHO .
In those rumours has anyone explained how Halifax Oil field as reported on the BBC has gone from a Multi Billion Barrel Oil field to having Zero value to Hurricane ?
Will Try again to Post
What happened with Halifax oil reserves and where is the licence now ?
Should have Good news next week on Cash, investigation , Production and the Plan with Debt paid off and producing $15m fcf per month .
Bigs125 thank you .
While we wait for next weeks update on FCF , Production and Water Cut . Always interesting to follow the Voting power in a company .
The approx 30% of shares outside the known ownership , still offer Kerogen or Saba an opportunity to force through a Cheap takeover . They have not gone to all this trouble just to walk away now . Next 2 weeks critical for Hurricane Holders .
Could CA and Private Holders block a last minute Grab ?
Would there be a Rejection of a 10p offer ?
Reckon most O&G Companies happy to play ' The Crocodile ' till after the 12th November and stay out of sight until the 'Elite' have plotted the way forward for the 'Unwashed Peasantry' .
CBS agree with your figures although would add production for October and as you say quite conservative .
Year End Revenue 31/12/2021 Reduced as December pick up now January 2022 :
Revenue $240m .
FCF $125m ( after November tanker )
Pick up 10th Jan 2022 generates $30m FCF at $80 boe .
CB's covered by 15th Jan 2022 .
Will be interesting to know where all Shareholding sits presently .
Crystal Amber 27%
Kerogen 16%
Pi's +- 25%
Where would the other 32% (600m shares) be ?
Thought news last Monday very Disappointed , maybe tomorrow .
News tomorrow or Monday on Findings of Investigation .
Next week confirmation on +- $40m + Revenue from October Lift .
Free Cash confirmed around $107m as at 31/10/21
Production and water cut for October + 10k and 34% .
Forward Plan on Financial compensation IF Negligence .
Crystal Amber position on Hurricane by 25th Nov v SABA vote .
Tanker pick up of 550k around 28th Nov .
Next 4 weeks 'Transformational ' for Shareholders .
Keep your Shares if possible .
Sense 100% agree on your view of Kerogen being involved in the scam takeover . Just hoping that CA are not going to be forced or use Saba and possible restructure as an excuse to do a Deal with Kerogen .
After all the increases in Holdings , i would imagine CA's 27% is at around 5p ave now . So would an offer of 10p be acceptable ?
6 months time with a forward plan in process and zero Debt , this share should be 25p . Can CA wait ?
12 Months time with increased secure production , funded from fcf , a share price of + 50p is possible . Can CA wait ?
If CA sell to the Chinese (Kerogen) will UK allow this ? Coastal Security issues ? Where would a 10p sale leave small Shareholders .
With the recent financial announcement from CA are they looking for +25p ?
Why did SABA make the announcement when they did , as was an obvious statement to rattle both CA and Hurricanes other Shareholders .
Are they part of the Kerogen Plan ? .......... SABA to be precise .
Sooooooo many questions ......
Confident that CA will extract Maximum value for any Sale of Hurricane only uncertainty is the Time Frame they are operating in .
Should they have 12 months to add value , this Share has a Huge upside .
Only when this Share loses 80% of its value will it be worse than PMO .
Until Share Overhang cleared March 2022 , its a Day Trader banking lots of Cash .
Mistake IMHO is hanging onto Hope with Zama and not getting Sea Lion up ( yes hold RKH as well as this ).
Huge Uplift will come from Andaman , Timpan , Tuna into Asia , as Chinese manufacturing moves to Indonesia , Vietnam and Malaysia . This is 'The Low Hanging Fruit ' of the next 5 years .
Interesting will be where the accountability lays .
Chairman , CEO or Manipulation and Insider Trading from CB Holders .
Possibly the Guilty parties may want an Out of Court Settlement which could suit Shareholders .
The Alternative while setting an Example may not work for Shareholders short term . A Positive Financial Settlement that gives Hurricane Investors Quick compensation would probably be more Welcome .
Example Debt settlement at $76m by Year End .
Great post Sensey
Interesting to note will be :
Who made the Decision not to buy back Discounted CB's ?
Why ?
What instructions/ threats were given by 'The Ad hoc CB Holders Representative Group '?
Mr Wolfe will be a Great Asset to the Investigation i believe .
Excellent News .
Reality check .
Well 6 pumping +10k boepd .
CB Debt will be covered by Jan 22 .
Shareholders will own 100% of Hurricane by Jan 22 .
Brent will still be + $80 in Jan 2022 .
Hurricane on $80 will be banking fcf at $10m per month after 15th Jan .
Spirit agreement should be moving positively early 2022 or its tied up .
The knowledge of 10m boe production will be utilised to drill for another sweet spot H1 2022 .
The above is now a Significant improvement to where we sat last year at this time with a BOD working tirelessly against Shareholders .
The above is why i am still invested and my glass is half full .
Jan 15th 2022 .
Enough cash to cover CB's .
If no interest benefit to Hurricane and zero risk of a cheap takeover' then we can sit on the cash pile until July and just keep adding .
Interesting Biden reckons no cheap oil until Winter 2022 . So now its all about keeping production until forward plan implemented .
While i'm at it . Where does Halifax sit in the Jigsaw with licence handed back ? If new CPR found to be inaccurate have we any way of reclaiming the Licence ?
Agree Fever although Maris for me , knew what he was getting into .
Calculate we are sitting on fcf of $107m after Oct 8th offload .
We will have a pickup around 22nd Nov and another week 1 Jan 2022 .
Hurricane presently running on all in costs of $9m per month with $11m fcf coming in pm if we spread tankers over 12 months .
FCF position projected on current production ,brent $80 as at 31/12/21 should be around $130m with a pick up early Jan to add .
Much hope you are correct , although if everything was going according to Lawyers this should have been finalised in September IMHO .
Can see where your coming from as PMO had plenty of Debt and they succeeded in losing Equity holders over 80% of their Investment .
Hey Baysil nice to see you are back and on Point .