RE: Traded Volume19 Dec 2020 18:08
Hi Boombaby,
This was posted by Badshah13 over on the GGP board, aligns with your thinking:
Hi All,
I was confused as all on this BB here on what happened yesterday at close. I had a look at the GDXJ website and downloaded the conponents (zip) file from website which I had also come across last Friday while downloading the excel file for quaterly changes.
I compare the two files with the closing files i.e. one for 11 Dec and 18 Dec and found that the information for the GGP is unchanged apart from the minor change to the Index weight of GGP from 0.93% on 11 Dec to 0.98% on 18 Dec (I think someone else also mentioed this 0.98% holding on yesterdays close and it was assumed that GDXJ has already started buying linking to that 20m share transaction on friday afternoon).
However, looking at the two files, I have worked out that the reason for the % changes from 0.93 to 0.98 is due to sp fluctuation from 0.31p to 0.34p (it states in the files). Therefore I conclude that GDXJ has not bought any further shares since last quater and the % rise from 0.66% to 0.98% is due to changes in sp as well as forex rate in the last 3 months - remember % value of GDXJ is based in USD.
To confirm this, I have checked another file which is for Opening on 21 Dec (it is part of the zip file). This excel file clearly states the increase in % of GGP on 21 DEC as 1.62% at the sp of 0.34p and same exchange rate. Further to confirm my assessment, I have checked the holding for PGM (Pure gold) which is meant to be new addition to the index and I can confirm that PGM iis not there on file with 18 Dec close but added as 0.7% on 21 Dec opening.
Based on the above information, I am concluding that GDXJ will be buying the shares on open at Monday. I am however not sure if this open mean LSE open at 8am or US market open. So guys be rest assured that GDXJ have not bought any shares so far and expect the fireworks on Monday.
Conparing GGP and PGM (or PUR on LSE) share prices, there is clear trend on both to go down on close towards close on friday - probably Brokers manipulating the sp to fill in large order on Monday at open.
Feel free to confirm the above yourself by downloading files from the GDXJ website. I hope this clears up all the assumption and lets enjoy the fireworks on Monday.. Hold tight.