RE: Hunt still holding stock28 Aug 2025 16:55
Actually, Spud, nothing has happened since then. That's the point. Oh, lots of announcements of things being close, but nothing ever materialising.
I asked AI to summarise the near misses. Take a look:
Here’s a tight, RNS-only “didn’t-ultimately-happen” list for Oracle Power (ORCP). Each item: what sounded close, and what (didn’t) follow, based on later RNS/updates up to 28 Aug 2025.
Jun 2016 – “Shareholders Framework Agreement” (70% Chinese equity; Sinosure-backed debt; EPC to be finalised).
Read as near-term step to definitive shareholder/EPC deals. No later RNS ever announced binding shareholder/EPC contracts from that 2016 framework; the partner mix was reshuffled in 2017–18 and again in 2019–20.
Nov 2017 – “Submission of Power Plant Proposal” with PPIB; LOI expected within ~3 months; MoU to be signed “this month”.
Follow-on RNS in Mar 2018 talked about PPIB approval and the issue of LOI/NTP and said definitive agreements/EPC were expected in Q2 2018—yet no financial close or EPC signing was ever announced; by Dec 2018 the lead Chinese partner changed.
Dec 2018 – New MoU: Beijing Jingneng to be majority owner; Oracle keeps ~12%; PowerChina in consortium.
Touted as a reset towards FC in 2018/19, but within a year the structure changed again, culminating in a new consortium in early 2020.
Mar 2020 – Government of Sindh letter; LOI “shortly” to be applied for; JIA & Shareholders Agreement expected at next JCC or Chinese state visit (mid-2020).
Sounded imminent; no subsequent RNS reported those agreements being signed, nor a new LOI issued to the CNCDC/HH Al Maktoum consortium.
Feb 2020 – Consortium Agreement with CNCDC (China Coal’s development arm) & HH Sheikh Ahmed Al Maktoum; CNCDC to source Chinese bank debt.
A major-sounding step; still no RNS since then announcing PPA, LOS, construction start or financing close for the 1,320 MW coal plant.
CPEC “Priority Project” status trumpeted (2017) and later inclusion for coal-to-gas/urea (Nov 2019).
Both sounded catalytic. Years on, project remained without FC/PPA; even GEM’s 2025 snapshot shows it repeatedly “under review/candidate” rather than committed.
Oct 2021 – Green Hydrogen “Co-operation Agreement” with PowerChina (target: 400 MW plant; ~150,000 kg/day; pre-feasibility due Q4-21).
Kicked off the GH push; subsequent RNSs showed studies/moUs but no binding offtake or FID announced.
Feb 2023 – Green Hydrogen offtake MoU with Emirates Global Aluminium (intended to become binding at COP28, late-2023).
Big-name counterparty and a target date, but there’s no later RNS confirming a binding offtake executed.