RE: Realism with a positive tilt6 Apr 2021 17:50
Even if, WRES has to utilise more of the atlas facility and for arguments sake we end up with 120,000,000 shares in issue, (that’s more than a 50% increase in the current amount of shares in issue) the level of earnings we would need to reach £1 a share is certainly achievable.
By my reckoning if we only had a PE ratio of 5, and had earnings of £25 million that would give us a market valuation of £125 million which is just over £1.04 per share if we have 120 million shares in issue.
If we used a PE of 10 we would only need earnings of £12.5 million.
If we used a PE of 15 we would only need earnings of £8.33 million
For clarification the earnings required against the various PE ratios, in order for us to get to £1 a share are all based upon us having a massively increased number of shares in issue, (120 million which is more than a 50% increase in the current level of shares in issue) so, obviously if we don’t end up with further dilution because of a short term need to raise cash, then getting to £1 a share will require considerably less earnings than I have stated.
So, despite what some of the non invested people may say, reaching £1 a share is entirely feasible in the short to medium term.
The plant upgrades are now completed and production has and still is improving, tungsten is $260 per mtu and forecast to rise, tin is over $27,000 per ton and forecast to rise.
As I see it we need production at roughly 50% of what was our target production in order to pay our costs.
So, that’s circa 90,000 mtu (900 tons) of tungsten metal per year or 75 tons a month (7,500 mtu)
Plus of course our tin production, of say 20 tons per month.
I believe that we were very close to producing the levels above when we were on a 5 day week, and that moving to a 7 day week from this month will mean that we surpass the amount need to cover our costs.
Time will tell, but keep the faith wressers, because rumours of WRES’s demise are greatly exaggerated ;-)