Sunday Times on Commercial Property27 Sep 2009 11:20
This areticle is great for Commercial Property Stocks like CHWI and IPI; See the Commercial Property Plug near the end:
From The Sunday Times September 27, 2009
Playing the sweet spot for shares – while it lasts
Timing is key in the aftermath of a slump. Experts give their tips on what to buy now and later:
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/money/investment/article6850655.ece
…Small companies — within which housebuilders, retailers and leisure stocks are largely represented — tend to outperform for about 18 months after sharp rate cuts, with a near-50% rally after the UK exited the European exchange rate mechanism in 1992, for example.
This pattern has held true this year. While the FTSE Small Cap index lost 48% in 2008, it has risen about 59% so far this year, whereas the FTSE 100 has risen just 15%. Even after such a strong run, small companies still look cheap. They are trading at a price/earnings ratio of 6.9 compared with 10.1 for the FTSE 100, said Adrian Lowcock at Bestinvest, the broker.
“At this level, small caps are about 40% cheaper than their historical average,” he said. “If the worst of the recession is behind us, it makes sense to buy smaller companies.”
However, smaller companies tend to be more sensitive to interest rate rises and could take a hit when markets start to price them in. Lowcock said investors should also buy into commercial property and absolute return funds (which can make money amid falli