RE: What am i missing?20 Apr 2023 16:03
"The deal may give you +6.02p 14 days after the deal (£6002) - the near term cash offer - then (as I work it out and according to HUR slide show: 0.27p in 20323; 1.21p in 2024; 1.13p in 2025 and 0.35p in 2026 per share based on Lancaster performance alone (total 2.96p dividends)"
looking over my figures again I note that (6.02 + 0.27 + 1.21) to end of 2024 is 7.5p for lancaster alone production. So, without any additional PRAX revenue, the deal could be negatively spun that the value of the TO is only going to be equivalent to todays market value, by end 2024 (i.e 7.5p). I accept that the cash part is in our pockets, but this is the bit that looks to me like the main decision point for PIs. No real adjustment for brent oil prices - what happens if goes back to $100 barrel etc.