EBT Scheme versus share dilution9 Jul 2024 10:46
I think the May update set the tone for a bigger beat than they actually achieved - they muted c.£29m but actually only came in £100k over market expectations at £28.5m. Revenue came in £1.5m over the range but none of it appeared to drop down to EBITDA.
I think the concerning thing here is that since announcing share buy backs on 14th December for the EBT Scheme they have spent £3m so I am not sure what that equates to on an annual basis but I used to reckon the previous issuing of new shares for staff incentives equated to c.1.7-2% dilution annually. Clearly staff have to be incentivised but it feels that £3m in less than half a year is disproportionate for a company of this size and I question where the private & institutional shareholders really sit in the priorities here. Also, a halving of diluted EPS doesn't sit pretty no matter how much you throw into addbacks.
I can't help but feel PIs are being hoodwinked by the professional bean counters and have finally decided to exit at an appropriate time which is not today!
** Market expectations (as compiled by the company): revenue of £134.0m-£135.2m, adjusted EBITDA £27.7m-£28.4m, adjusted PBT of £21.9m-£22.5m, net debt of £2.0m-£3.2m