RE: Global crisis?21 Mar 2024 13:04
"Biotechnology in 2024
The biotechnology sector is not completely immune to the slings and arrows of broader investor sentiment, but there are some sector-specific reasons for optimism. Despite the recent rally, the Nasdaq Biotechnology Index remains almost 20% below the peak it reached in 20211. This suggests significant upside potential for the index as a whole as we move through 2024 and beyond. This potential is underpinned by the sector’s accelerated pace of innovation, and heightened competitiveness and efficiency, following three years of consolidation and restructuring.
As the chart below demonstrates, the number of new drug approvals is currently high and on an upward trend. Importantly, many of these new therapies are for medical conditions that have previously been considered untreatable. This reflects the accelerating pace of innovation in biotechnology and other scientific fields, and hints at the scale of the opportunity that lies ahead for investors in the sector.
Meanwhile, the prospect of further merger & acquisition (M&A) activity looks strong. Patent expiries among the larger pharma players continues to be a pressing issue and they will continue to look towards the biotech sector for opportunities to plug the holes in their product shelves and pipelines. The continued implementation of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) could amplify this demand for the more innovative biotech businesses with promising pipelines, as we explained here in a previous blog. Moreover, if interest rates decline, companies will find it easier to finance deals and product development. In turn, this could lead to a return of initial public offerings (IPOs), signalling an improved sentiment towards the sector."
https://www.schroders.com/en-gb/uk/intermediary/content/what-to-expect-from-biotech-in-2024/