RE: new vote27 May 2021 10:51
HI PaulAnthony - to bring some balance to your bleak prognosis, do you see any positivity with:
1: There is no short or even medium term insolvency issue (likely this is true)
2: GJ and team have effectively been invited to work on a restructure and better Scheme proposal that the FCA can stand behind
I know it'lll be tempting to do a Vicky Pollard yeh but no but. However. These are ultimately positives and so you either believe the Management will eventually turn the business around or not. If you do, then even with a haircut, the business lending into the market is going to be worth multiples of where it is now (even with dilution). If you don't believe then its just a hunch you have based on not a lot. I can accept that a restructure could wipe out the original investors, however you won't find any new investors touching this with a barge pole if that happened so its unlikely that will come to pass. Finally, the loss of capital is now real and the timelines and rewards are likely to be lowered, so it may not be everyones idea of a good punt. I rather suspect we'll see 20p again this year whatever happens and so right now thats a nice 100% rise for those willing to take a risk and put what they can afford to lose into it.