Essential Dilution2 Nov 2021 14:09
FV - don't get disillusioned now the game is getting interesting. Let me help by pointing out a few positives.
SLK
Because nothing was said with regards to SLK in todays RNS tells me he's locked into a negotiating position and is restricted until a conclusion has been reached. The only possible negative outcome from the SLK situation is if KUFPEC announce they will not renew the extension. With this must come an announcement, and we have not had an announcement, so we must conclude this has to be ongoing.
Placing
No one likes a placing but sometimes you can't get anything done quickly without one. The company has 59 staff and an expenditure of £5.7m per year. Much of the income received so far covers a good chunk of that £5.7m. However, building a momentum/a pace with a placing maybe unsavoury to some but essential in the progression of the company. You all might be thinking the recent RNS is just a diversion from the pending outcome of the SLK situation, quite the contrary. This was not done overnight, you don't get institutional investors onboard with a phone call (hello Jim, got a few quid spare to invest), it takes weeks for them to investigate your credentials and you can't get a placing arranged over a weekend. The question is how do you expand the company quickly if you have no money to do it with. SNPC are holding back $5.7m, SLK holds $10m, the SNP court case that everyone seems to have forgotten about is holding potentially $5.3m (could be as much as $20m based on AAOG's injected investment). So the poor old chap AC, was in a bit of a pickle if he wanted to get things moving.
Azzauia
Azzauia, was producing back in March $400,000 per month, currently producing almost $650,000 per month to Zenith. The plan now is to drill two side tracks to increase the production rate to 1000bpd, giving Zenith an additional 200-250bpd or $650,000 per month. $1.3m per month or $15.6m per year overall.
Robanna
The Robanna concession, as far as I am aware, is set to work over Rob- 3 immediately after Rob- 1. Now it seems we are drilling two new wells. We may be drilling these wells in conjunction with Rob-3, however, I think this is unlikely as we have heard nothing regarding the movement of the rig to Rob- 3. What should be noted is that wells prior to 2012 were producing at a rate of 500bpd. No potential figures have yet been divulged as yet but we could be looking at quite a windfall if successful.
Congo
AC told us back in 2020 that it takes and will take a very long time to get the rigs through Congo customs. He's now confirmed that the 1200hp rig is on route to or situated in Congo and the costs associated with its movement to Tilapia will be £300,000. In addition, £250,000 for Tilapia ll licence process and finalisation of Tilapia ll drilling operations, are clear indications that he is preparing to drill. He's been telling us for the last 18 months that he has this in the bag and imv nothings changed with that regard.