RE: Docket update15 Aug 2022 19:18
Ps. In broad terms I think the current share price only (barely) reflects the lowest possible award on a victory, or settlement. What I can say right now is what I have said before - that in my opinion it is certainly not out of the question to believe the damages value could be in the range of 10x higher than the sort of sum which has been touted in the analyst forecasts for a ‘low end’ award. Others have dismissed this, which is itself wrong, as it ultimately depends on what legal valuation method is settled upon and there is plenty of scope for varying sized awards which end up in the very high category.
One of the arguments used to deny this here (on this BB) was the broad-brush / possibly knee-jerk response that the market cannot be wrong but, in fact, the market has been rising of late due in part to a gradual realisation that it takes a bit of time and effort to interpret what is truly going on, just as it has done at various other times. I am also sure in my own mind that this ‘educated’ Board has been ahead of the game on some things for quite some time because, to give a recent example, when the 232 Order was published on 10th August a few people here commented on the crucial significance of that decision (myself included) and the market barely reacted at first. Not so now.
My overriding feeling is that aspects of this case are intricate and complex case to solve (not so much the law but due to the difficult science involved) but this holds no fear because at the end of a long week what jury members will tend to remember – and will be eagerly reminded of – is a few startling sound bites (such is the world we live in now!). If that consideration did not tend to play fully into Nanoco's hands the company and its funders would never have chosen the apparent lottery of a jury case.
So, leaving aside for a moment the legal arguments and the evidence, I believe the basic "narrative” is a very good one for Nanoco to tell jury members:
1) Small tech being ripped off by mega corporation.
2) The tech battle between Far East v West.
Here, the general political climate in America is highly conducive to Nanoco winning the minds of jury members because, I imagine, that a few die-hard Republicans Trump supporters do live in Texas ;-)
Added to that, we also have:
3) The smoking gun email and other evidence of 6 years of S&N working together before S left N high and dry.
4) Samsung’s public marketing effort which relied upon selling its new “quantum dot” technology to the masses. This was not just some irrelevant widget, but a chief selling point.
Weighing against that narrative Samsung has a dry, purely technical argument to run which will likely send jury members into a coma. I conclude that any half-decent lawyer has a great story to tell a jury – and with Mintz we have much better than that, as they have already shown. I’ll keep backing them to succeed.