national credit ratings18 Nov 2019 17:46
I have been reading the various comments on credit ratings and thought I can offer some perspective here. I will use the S&P standard and poors scale as its easier to explain and easier to understand.
S&P use a 22 level rating scale, where AAA is the best and D is the worst.
The scale is AAA, AA,A,BBB,BB.B.CCC.CC.C and D.
AA through to CCC are subdivided with higher middle and lower using + for higher and - for lower.
so the 22 grades are AAA, Then 6 lots of 3, then CC,C and D.
Investment grade is everything in AAA, AA, A, BBB+ and BBB, which is the top 9 from 22.
so called junk status is BBB-, BB+,BB,BB-, B+,B,B-,CCC+, CCC,CCC-, CC, and C. 10 to 21 on the scale.
D is uninvestable because they have defaulted. 22
International bond markets still trade strongly in the 10 to 21 junk market, they just price the risk appropriately.
South Africa is BB+ with S@P which puts them on level 10 which makes them far from uninvestable, although clearly there would be more enthusiasm if they were up the scale.
My point is South Africa is not a basket case, or bust, or uninvestible. Its rating could be higher, but please don't assume that level 10 on a 22 rating scale is a no-hoper.
gla