RE: Reality Check11 Jan 2026 15:52
Nice posts velcro. I agree, we have not been taken up over the last week by the returning hype around US RE shares, but we are steadily developing and adding value to our business in the background. That makes us a much safer bet in my eyes, and a pretty asymmetric opportunity with limited downside risk from here as explained earlier this week. That is why I am comfortable committing such a large proportion of my wealth to this share. Given the amount that you hold I imagine you must feel the same.
If something goes up on hype and general market sentiment alone, it is likely to come crashing back down sooner or later (as USARE did in November and December) unless it can make use of that hype to raise capital at a higher valuation and deploy that capital efficiently. I think this is why USARE decided to buy Less Common Metals, they wanted to make use of their own inflated market cap to buy something that actually had nearer term value than the rest of their assets.
Going up on headlines about RE potential in Greenland is a case in point, and as people have said, just like the Ukraine RE story, is completely hype driven and will have no impact on USARE's business prospects in the next 5-10 years, if ever. But that's the world we are in at the minute with the Donald's comments driving markets on a daily basis. You can definitely make money that way, but a lot of it will be pot luck and you need to get your timing right to get out with a big profit. I don't think USARE is an attractive investment personally, and if had committed the majority of my portfolio to it I wouldn't be able to sleep a wink at night. I sleep well with Mkango.