RE: Benign19 Sep 2019 09:26
I think we all need reminding every now and again why some of believe there is great value in the company. We have world class partners in the license. and we have country level cornerstone investor. both of these parties are not running for the door, I wonder why????
I know we have the progressive report but I thought I would put the GSA and the BOOT numbers and the update TE5 production rate together. Now this is a quick Calculation for the new visitors to the BB. And for the LTH please show me where I have gone wrong
At Brent at $70 ( long term average) dollars a barrel, we will get $8.5 a scf. If the production rate at Horst is 66MScf/day thats 8.5 X 66000 = $561k per Day.
561 X 365 = 204.7 million a year.
10 years production = 2.04 Billion.
Sounds Share 47.5% X 204 billion = 950 Million for the 10 years production
Cost for the BOOT is a maximum of 45 million a year, Sounds share is 21 million Per annum.
Other Capex and and Opex lets say sounds share is 21 million per annum. Therefore a total of 42 million a year cost. That gives Sound over 10 years 950 – 420 million = $530 million
$530 converted to Sterling £400million EBITDA.
Gives approx 40p per share. I know the progressive report gives us 25ps, but that does look very conservative.
Also over the 10 years that works out at 240bcf. After the latest bits of info from TE7 and the Seismic, we may have double that recoverable.