RE: Director BuysBuys2 Oct 2019 20:49
Hello P,
Enquest has held up the best since September 13th, and that tells us a lot. PMO/CNE/TLW are all much lower now than they were on that date, vis-a-vis Enquest. Enquest may not have gone up as much after that event, but there's a lot of support now. I take comfort in that.
IMO, a Magnus type deal will need lower oil for longer. I'm hoping for that scenario to not play out. ;-) In a lower for longer scenario, there won't be a div, even maybe in 2021 - so, all 5 in next 12 months isn't on, IMO :-). We'll just need to keep monitoring rigs and Q3 results for shalers to figure out how capex is trending and that'll give us the direction of shale production in 2020. As things look now, down is the way they'll trend and with a China trade deal firmly in play next week, that should support the economy and oil in the coming months. Trumpy needs a deal to divert attention from his impeachment issues.. ;-)