Member Info for EmeraldCarrots

close it's short 1st thing tomorrow? Must be tempting!!!! Up 18% plus if they do?

ARCMHunter.
There is a good case for the UN to get ALL COUNTRIES to contribute to a fund which is specifically to compensate Companies who try to create a vaccine but lose out when a competitor beats them to it.

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Oil price etc. bodes well for PMO tomorrow.
After all thet is what we sell. As long as the price is ok we are good.
I love OPEC & Russia working together on the oil price!!!
All IMHO.

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Government should be telling our pharmaceutical Companies to divert much much more capability to creating a vaccine. We must have a vaccine by next Winter or we will be in big trouble.
All IMHO.

Syria is not happy. This is bery serious. 2 planes shot down etc....
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-51701069

Brent up to $51.72. OPEC meeting Thursday. I suspect it will be $53 by then or more.

If I were them I would be looking at Vietnam or Singapore. Both hot and humid making it harder for flu like viruses to spread. The oil use will increase in those countries I would have thought.
All IMHO.

Surfit.
In reply to your post ARCM must be the luckiest Company on the planet. As far as I am aware they are still short to the tune of something like 17% of the entire shares in issue. Will they close after the results, will they close after the meeting on the 17th? I have no idea.
Regarding the oil price as long as OPEC and Russia co-operate I can't see Brent going below $50 for any meaningful length of time. I'm certain that Saudi and Russia want Brent at $55 minimum and will (must?) act to ensure this.
Regarding the PMO/BP deal personally I don't care if it goes ahead or not. I thought Premier were in a fantastic position before the deal.
Virus. I think the Government will carry on with the same policy. The UK have 36 cases. The digraceful BBC keep accidently on purpose forget to say 8 have recovered. I have complained about this and so should everyone else. It is mis-leading the public and completely out of order. The World simply MUST develop a vaccine by next winter. I believe the Govenment will carry on slowing down the spread but it is highly unlikely we will be able to stop it. So basically slow the spread as much as possible. Maybe hotter weather will help. Then vaccinate the vulnerable with the new vaccine before next winter. That is what I think will happen. I think we will have at least a few thousand cases before then but other diseases like seasonal flu are more of a threat at that sort of level.
All IMHO.

Surfit:-
PMO's fantastic deal with BP pushed the sp up, what...... 20% in a day or 2. It was suspected that ARCM were caught out as they had a huge short position (some 18%), so they argued the deal was bad........... then it emerged that 98% of the others lenders thought it was good........... LOL!!! So I;m right and you other 35 Co's in the same industry are wrong!!!! LOL! Well what lucky sons they are with the virus coming along!!!! Will they close it having to buy 18% of the total shares in issue to do so. We will see. I suppose if the sp jumps up a 5th in one day we will know!! LOL!!!. 77p + 15p is 92p by the way.
All IMHO.

hot country. I have not noticed the case numbers growing much at all for Singapore. The theory that hot humid conditions mean flu viruses find it difficult to infect others seems to hold water. So I imagine nearly all their patients were infected in China. The come home to hot and humid conditions (Singapore if famous for being horribly humid for most of the year) and DO NOT spread the virus to others due to humidity and heat. Question is how do we use this. I can imagine hospital departments being made 25c and humid to stop this virus spreading. Other ideas:-
1. hand sanitising stations as you enter train/tube stations.
2. same in the streets of cities so if you want you can wash your hands on your wat to whereever.
3. Plough billions into a vaccine. In fact this is paramount, so make it the easy Nr. 1.

So more personal transport. Cars, motor bikes, bikes/electric bikes, scooters/electric scooters. Halfords springs to mind. They are involved in ALL these types of personal transport. Halfords sp rose slightly Friday whilst just about everything else went down. Weather is improving at last which helps. I thought Halfords were already on a winner being suppliers of bikes/electric bikes, scooters/electric scooters which seem the be everywhere now. The fashion is to keep fit so cycling to work is what more and more people do. Also they save a load of money and don't get frustrated in traffic jams. This virus is bound to make more people buy bikes and scotters, that is obvious.
All IMHO.

So more personal transport. Cars, motor bikes, bikes/electric bikes, scooters/electric scooters, walking! Halfords springs to mind. They are involved in ALL these types of personal transport. Halfords sp rose slightly Friday whilst just about everything else went down. Weather is improving at last which helps.

war planes. If true Syria and Turkey are at war, without abnnouncing it if you ask me. BBC article:-
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-51697980

wants to BAN fracking in the USA! Erm........ what would happen to the oil price then? No prises! Thing is I bet the vast majority of Americans do not like fracking. So he could get in and it could actually happen.

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/How-Markets-And-The-Media-Overhyped-Coronavirus.html

The recovery rate cannot be calculated accurately.
You say the worldwide recovery rate is 48%. That will obviously be on known cases. Trouble is 4 out of 5 people don't get very ill and some have no more than cold symptoms that they would assume was exactly that, a common cold. The actual ecovery rate therefore cannot be worked out. The experts have the knowledge based on other viruses. They say the recovery rate is 98% (98 out of every 100 people live).

The buying of the BP assets in the North sea is fully underwritten. From the RNS:-
"The proposed Acquisitions will be funded via a US$500m equity raise (net of expenses) which has been fully underwritten on a standby basis, existing cash resources and, if required, an Acquisition Bridge Facility of US$300 million.".
Seems to me the only way it would NOT happen would be if ARCM manage to stop the sanction of the schemes of arrangement at the court hearing ion the 17th March. If they win does the Wold end? No, everything in cancelled, It says that in the RNS too. I'm ok if it is cancelled, and I'm ok if it is not!!
All IMHO.