RE: Deal23 Apr 2026 13:50
I've put together a simple sum-of-the-parts using FY2026 estimated EBITDA by division and net debt of $88M as reported in the March trading update.
On the divisional EBITDA I've used two scenarios β a conservative case (DIS $23M, Comparison $12M, Search $7M) and a slightly more optimistic case (DIS $25M, Comparison $14M, Search $9M) β both well within what the business has demonstrated it can deliver.
On multiples I've applied a bear/base/bull range: DIS at 7x/9x/11x, Comparison at 5x/6x/8x, and Search at 0x/2x/4x β the last of which is already pricing Search as worthless in the bear case.
Even in the most conservative scenario β lowest EBITDA estimates, distressed multiples across all three divisions, Search at zero β the implied share price is 40p. We are currently trading at 32p.
In other words, at the current price you are below the bear case on forward numbers, applying deeply distressed multiples to a business where DIS just reported 10% EBITDA growth and 155% cash conversion. The base case across both EBITDA scenarios implies 62-72p. The bull case 87p-101p.
The board has publicly stated any DIS disposal would deliver value materially in excess of the current market cap. Under Takeover Panel rules they are obliged to correct that statement if it were no longer true. They haven't.
The market is pricing illiquidity and forced sellers. Not fundamentals.