RE: How I turned my tiny SIPP pension pot into millions.13 Mar 2023 07:15
Not strictly pension news, but very interesting.
? https://www.embroker.com/blog/startup-statistics/
?
?Following on from the collapse of SVB Bank, and it’s U.K. rescue by HSBC, this article is well worth a read. Some of the data is going back a year or two which is why it’s so interesting.
It’s all about start up failure rates , particularly in the Tech industry.
One can see the tidal wave of cash that poured in during the period of low interest rates.
Now rates have risen, its much, much, harder to raise fresh capital to
A: Start a new company
B: keep any loss making company going.
Hence my belief that even with the bank being saved , a very large proportion of the lending book is rubbish, as the Start ups keep drawing down cash , making losses, and then going bust,( without continuing lumps of new capital being injected in ).
The job losses recently experienced by the likes of Amazon, and Twitter, look to be spreading down the line.
This may help the remaining companies that are nimble, well financed, and growing rapidly.
Triad Group Plc is the SME ( not a start up ) I am hoping will go on to grow extremely fast, vacancies should at least in theory, be easier to full, going forward.
As one can see below , VC fell 35% last year and are predicted to fall savagely this year as lending rates climb even higher.
That’s a massive squeeze, meaning it’s going to be impossible for perhaps 70% of loss making start ups, to continue trading.
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In 2022, global venture funding totaled $445 billion, per Crunchbase. That's a 35% year-over-year decline from the $681 billion startups raised in 2021, representing a steeper pullback than was experienced after the 2008 financial crisis or dot-com bubble, per Preqin data reported by Bloomberg.9 Jan 2023