RE: How I turned my tiny SIPP pension pot into millions.20 Apr 2023 12:38
Simon Nixon - 20/4/23:
Dismay at soaring student debt has finally risen to the surface
Rishi Sunak has called for every child in Britain to continue to study mathematics until they are 18. Last week I did my bit to fulfil the prime minister’s vision when I explained to my 18-year-old the most important piece of maths that he needed to know: how compound interest works. It was the same maths lesson that my first boss delivered to me as a trainee analyst in a City bank 30 years ago. The difference was that my boss was trying to explain to me the benefits of starting regular investing at the start of your career, whereas I was trying to explain the mechanics of student debt. How the world has changed.
The sharp rise in inflation and interest rates over the past year or so has made the operation of compound interest highly material to today’s students. Most student debt today is supposed to pay an interest rate of RPI [the retail prices index] plus 3 per cent, but this is capped at 6.9 per cent. At this level, a £50,000 debt, typical for graduates these days, would balloon to £69,800 after five years and £97,442 after ten. Under reforms to the system last year, new loans from September are supposed to be a lower interest rate based solely on the RPI. Given that this was 13.5 per cent last month, one must hope that this is capped, too.
The political and economic consequences of burdening a generation with so much debt has received less attention than it should. One reason may be that politically the issue appears settled. There is no evidence that anxieties over long-term debt are putting young people off going to university, including among those from the poorest households. Most appear still to consider, probably rightly, that a degree will open up career opportunities. Many students may believe that they will never pay off their debt, although under last year’s reforms, which included lowering the earnings threshold for repayments from £27,500 to £25,000 and extending the repayment period to 40 years, most loans will be repaid in full.
But what makes student debt politically and economically problematic is not simply the size of the debts as how they are repaid: a deduction of 9 per cent of all earnings above the threshold, plus an extra deduction of 6 per cent for those with graduate loans. The result is to confront graduates with eyewatering effective marginal tax rates. For someone earning the average starting salary of £30,921 a year, for example, the marginal rate is 41 per cent, rising to 47 per cent for graduates, including national insurance. At the higher-rate threshold of £50,000, this rises to 51 per cent and 57 per cent. If a graduate earning over £50,000 has children, the rate rises to 76 per cent and 82 per cent, as child benefit is clawed back. Above £100,000, it rises back above 70 per cent as the tax-free allowance is withdrawn.
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The poor kids now have automatic pension subs to pay, as well !!!