SC6 Price & License Risk26 Sep 2024 11:13
IMHO; Delay is not problem, only risks are 1) Future SC6 price (Kod price FOB china is $800 as stated by Hainan ), we know the production is 120,000t/yr, we have 49%, so easy cal on future cash flow. 2) Govt stake (@ zero cost for 30%), even Ganfeng next door have to pay, but so far, KOD/Hainan seemed refuse to give, hence no license transfer to the JV entity . If 30%% has to be taken, SC6 pice is less than , say $1000 FOB China (by Q12025 (Big IF, unlikely IMO), then justification for .50p or £100m MCap will be in seriously doubt ! Just my personal view. GLA