RE: Positive Action1 Jan 2024 15:06
Expecting that a conclusion to CoplH’s Agatha Christie might soon arise & that possibly the 2nd CPR report gets published.
Assuming technical difficulties on the GGS (imo is most probable) then, Anavio are in a tight spot, with their 1.3B shares bought at 0.15p for and so needing to download at c.1p to then recuperate their initial CLN costs.
The 1st CPR covered the BF and was estimated by RS that production could rise to 5000bopd. Which was prior to any of AM’s engineerings. That then represents a possible return of say c.$35M (using Cuda’s buy-out figures, reduced for a lower POO) in a controlled sale.
The 2nd CPR on the Fed Deep then entered into ‘cutting-edge-technology being needed’ and for a short while, brought in some interest by prospective partners.
Half-expecting that this report might now get released, primarily to highlight the complexities of the technical challenges but also in part, as akin to opening a Pandora’s Box, which then reveals the obfuscation that AM used, both with retail and likely also the BH.
IF it is seen that AM was deceitful to the ii’s this Might then gain them some breathing space from the SL to either overcome any GGS technical glitches or for a controlled sale of either BFU &/or the Fed Deep.
The above is then assuming that Anavio are staying the course ie that it is technical issues, as apposed to yet further market skull-duggery.
With no explanation being given by the bod with respect to any set-backs on the field or of explanation of the current charge that the field holds, then the finger of probability does rather point towards likely BH skull-duggery.