RE: Progressive Research Note22 Aug 2024 12:53
Ready to drill. DQE, the main provider of drilling services in Mongolia, has
been approved (as the winning bidder) for the 2024 drilling programme.
This will comprise the drilling of the Heron-2 well and Gobi Bear
exploration well. The Heron-2 well is located to the south of the Heron-1
well and is expected to spud in mid-September, giving enough time in the
operational window to allow full evaluation, flow testing and completion
as a production well. Management is getting a smaller rig mobilised to drill
the Gobi Bear exploration prospect in the south west of the licence. This
is expected to spud towards the end of September and is probing a
stratigraphic/pinchout trap, which is up-dip and in the same geology as
the Heron oil field. Management estimates that oil resources in place
could be 307 mmbbl. Assuming a similar recovery factor (30%) to the
Heron field, this would imply recoverable resources of approximately 90
mmbbl. Gobi Bear is a high-risk prospect with an estimated chance of
success of approximately 15%.
▪ Overview. This operational update is good news for shareholders after so
many delays over issues such as land access. Petro Matad will soon start
production at Heron-1, and this will quickly build with further wells.
Management believes that it could ultimately get production up to 9,000
bbl/day at the field, which would provide significant cash flows. The Gobi
Bear exploration well, although high risk, could provide a very significant
boost to the resources base of the group and shareholder value.
Elsewhere, Petro Matad continues to look to grow. SunSteppe, its
renewable energy JV, is moving several projects ahead (such as its battery
energy storage system at Choir). Petro Matad is also looking at building its
oil exploration acreage in the current licencing round.