RE: RE: SP27 Nov 2019 23:07
I am trying to evaluate the upcoming campaign and put together an analysis of historical market cap valuations against certain key milestones. Obviously a challenge as Charlie-1 is chasing 3/4 times the net resource of Winx-1 and the drill is conventional unlike Icewine.
I am new to the company and have built a position over the last few weeks, their is a considerable amount of information that I still need to learn.
I am trying to understand the historical pattern of events but one thing seems clear. We all know that following the petrophysical interpretation of Winx-1 that 88e took the decision to plug and abandon. What has been clear in the communication from the company re Charlie-1 is that they expect completion of flow testing by mid April, they have stated this on a number of occasions. Having already undertook revised petrophysical analysis of the Malguk-1 well, as long as we intersect the chosen targets we can be assured of drilling updates to consist of two key milestones:
1. wireline logging
2. flow test.
These are two major milestones that led to the share price reacting strongly during the Icewine campaign. An outcome that is highly likely to be repeated here imo. I am not sure of the cos associated with this drill, but with a similar play on nearby blocks having something like 9/9 discoveries, a share price whilst difficult to calculate due to the size of the prize will in my opinion reflect something in excess of previous highs in the market cap (allowing for dilution).
2.7p for starters, but with the news-flow to come from a multiple stacked target, it’s going to be an exciting ride that the market will not be able to ignore for to much longer.