RE: Imminent Bid - Thread Removed10 Jan 2022 10:25
Hi Zoros, I did email GGP about what would happen if NCM put in a bid for our entire stake in Hav this weekend, probably best fi a few do so they know it's a question many have. Of course if I hear, I'll post a reply here :-)
As investors we have to exercise a 360 focus and speculate on any and all outcomes and then prescribe our own probability to it - and also a strategy if for instance it’s GGP selling it’s entire stake in Havieron, I have to think about what will I do then etc.? The Flow Chart approach as such and in some cases, we’re more passengers to fate unfortunately.
NCM either bidding for our entire stake in Havieron or the entire company are feasible scenarios (in that they can’t be regarded as completely impossible) but we all have our own opinions on IF they will happen, WHEN they might happen and at WHAT price etc.
The IF, WHAT & WHEN is fine to discuss IMO, what these platforms are for, I didn’t see NCM triggering the 5% option this soon but I never discounted it as a potential scenario, just because I don’t want something to happen doesn’t make it less feasible.
Some might be correct and they bid for GGP soon, or they might be wrong and NCM don’t, or they just bid for Havieron or perhaps just purchase the 5% or……. they don’t even go for that as the valuation goes against their desired outcome .
Personally, I think if NCM do want all of Hav or GGP they’ll probably need a FS in hand to help justify the ROI. I hope I’m right if they do take either route - the earlier it is - the cheaper they’ll need to pay probably.
Not long till Feb when we see the updated/upgraded MRE and the 5% FMV outcome - it’s pretty exciting to me, we KNOW Havieron is special, of course it’s going to be chased after - rather be in that boat than the other 2999 explorers still looking for their Havieron :-))