RE: Notes from Proactive Forum Q&A - 17 Feb 202218 Feb 2022 16:09
* Trying to amalgamate 2 similar questions from Timor and Barry, Timor asks what might be the revised date for the decline to hit the top of the ore body since there’s an unexpected difficulty in the rock formation encountered, there are only 100 more metres to go***, might this be achieved by 2022 year end?
***(NOTE: this was incorrect, the 277m specified by NCM for Jan 2022 is length not vertical depth)
- Firstly, we included in our RNS the progress at the decline, it’s moving a little bit quicker right now which is positive, prudently NCM and us talked about the ground conditions being softer than we’d like and somewhat counter-intuitively softer conditions slow you up and harder ‘country rock’ which is when you really get down into the mining is good as it’s held itself up, you can take bigger longer cuts which accelerates your cycle
- Right now we think it’s within budget both in cost and time, what NCM did prudently is flag that the ground conditions are a little bit softer than we’d like so that has slowed it down a little bit but right now there’s a range of things you can do to accelerate that and catch up and indeed against the timeframes originally set
- One of the things we’re doing and progressing with is a change to the route of the decline, still ultimately the same passage but spiralling down a little bit earlier rather than running across more laterally at these higher depths
- So, that’s positive, as with depth the ground conditions will get more and more positive
- Another thing to comment on is that the 277m we announced today is chainage not vertical progress so shouldn’t think we’ve got to get 400m through the Permian therefore 123m away
- That is actually how far it’s advanced and then got to factor in the incline to work out your vertical depth and also we started from a Box Cut which gave us some launch pad in terms of depth as well
- So we’re not 2/3 there, otherwise we’d be very confident that we’d have it finished inside of 2023, there’s still significant chainage links to go.
* Run out of time which is such a shame as some very juicy questions coming in about institutions, shorting, and an early buyout but will just have to leave it on that cliff-hanger.
Thank you for sharing the value drivers and hitting a lot of the questions head on.
- Thx everyone for listening and part of having a big JV partner is that there’s always going to be that speculation in the market, thanks again everyone and bye now.
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