RE: Conservative C31 Oct 2022 12:40
All corporations are conservative, go through annual reports and targets and tell me otherwise for any company leading in it's field globally, missing stated targets can wipe 100's of millions if not more off a SP in no time, look at the FAANG stocks of late. Again, it is also Cadia that they have delayed the FS for in order to go through optimisation etc. No doubt they will integrate Feb resource updates along with optimised costs into both studies and one hopes a secondary method of extraction for the SLOS mining added to mining plan for ours, which would be very exciting.
Feel you're reaching there when you look at Havieron's AISC compared to peers, do you think ANZ, HSBC and ING felt concern when applying Due Diligence and agreeing to a funding framework with just a very conservative PFS and also Wyloo and Tribeca of late. Failing to go ahead after all this expenditure at Havieron would probably get the whole board fired - not just Sandeep... and as to why I think the DTM is going ahead, here's one I made earlier...
Newcrest haven't spent near $0.5bn USD to decide not to mine.
They haven't started a PRODUCTION READY decline PRE-DFS to decide not to mine.
They aren't tendering and securing multi year contracts and manpower around production and processing related areas to decide not to mine.
They aren't spending time and money on processing and exploring for additional lower grade Telfer pockets to keep Telfer running until Havieron comes on-line to decide not to mine.
They aren't planning on Telfer facilities evolving into a regional hub in their portfolio as Telfer Province to decide not to mine.
They haven't also continued into additional farm-in phases with various JV partners in the Paterson Region because they plan to mothball Telfer and decide not to mine.
IMO Havieron is being green-lit and being more than fully funded for our share of costs, we will soon be owners of 30% of one of the biggest Gold/Copper discoveries in many a long year... and perhaps a sprinkling of nickel on top of the cake.
These funding partners, mining industry leaders and top tier Banks haven't agreed to come join the GGP journey because they expect NCM not to decide to mine.
DFS and DTM may be occurring into a weak market but IMO we'll see a production rerate to some extent and the sector will rerate at some point from what appears to be a near bottom.
It's been a very unsettling and difficult two years since the euphoria of 2020 but we mustn't lose sight of the huge and monumental fact we are now fully funded.