Thoughts it’s could still be £££24 Jul 2024 20:43
Reviewing the provided link, which details Upland Resources' (UPL) position on Block SK334, here’s a summary and analysis based on the information from the article and UPL’s website:
### Summary of UPL's Position on Block SK334:
1. **Exclusive PSC Expectations**:
- UPL has been actively pursuing an exclusive PSC for Block SK334. They have highlighted their technical studies and engagement with the Sarawak government as part of their strategy to secure this agreement.
2. **Current Status**:
- The website emphasizes UPL's continued communication with both Petros and the Sarawak government, suggesting they are optimistic about receiving an exclusive PSC based on their ongoing discussions and efforts.
### Analysis and Implications:
1. **Initial Exclusive PSC Possibility**:
- **Feasibility**: It remains plausible that Petros could grant UPL an initial exclusive PSC, allowing them to begin work on the block. This would provide UPL with early access and potentially a significant opportunity to develop the block based on their proposal and technical studies.
- **Strategic Balance**: Offering an exclusive PSC initially while planning to open up the block to competitive bidding later could align with a strategy to secure a committed partner while retaining flexibility to attract additional investors or partners as the project progresses.
2. **Petros’ Competitive Bidding Announcement**:
- **Timing and Scope**: Petros’ announcement about competitive bidding and the timeline extending to 2026 suggests that they plan a broad and open process. However, this does not preclude the possibility of initial exclusive agreements, especially if Petros and the government aim to balance immediate development with long-term strategic interests.
3. **Two Separate Processes**:
- **Different Aspects**: The competitive bidding mentioned in the article could be related to specific phases or parts of Block SK334, while UPL’s exclusive PSC might cover an initial phase or a different aspect of the block. This dual approach could be part of a broader strategy to maximize the value and involvement in the block.
4. **Government Influence**:
- **Sarawak Government’s Role**: The Sarawak government’s influence remains crucial. If the government strongly supports UPL, they could play a role in facilitating or influencing the granting of an exclusive PSC, even if Petros is planning for a broader competitive process later.
### Likelihood of the Scenario:
- **Initial Exclusive PSC**: There is a reasonable chance that UPL could receive an initial exclusive PSC, especially if their engagement with the Sarawak government and Petros has been positive. This agreement might cover certain phases or aspects of the block.
**Estimated Likelihood**: ~30-40%
- **Subsequent Competitive Bidding**: Petros’ broader competitive bidding plan for the block or specific parts could follow the initial PSC, allowing for additiona