Scotland8 Nov 2025 17:07
i think the market is grossly underestimating just how important the scottish parliament election is next may. with a labour government in utter collapse in the polls, and indeed coming behind even the greens in the latest westminster voting intentions and a disastrous budget looming later this month, the government cannot afford to lose badly in scotland.
as pointed out in the telegraph 'this vote, as well as those for the parliaments in wales and northern ireland, and council elections in england, will be the voters’ first large-scale opportunity to deliver their considered verdict on the government.'
i cannot imagine that the labour party are that deaf, and completely ignorant to the fact that they will be out of power for generations to come if they continue on their current trajectory.
rachel reeves in her november budget, as well as raising taxes must now show some pro-growth measures to survive. i am gambling here that reeves will go firmly against mad ed milliband and go for growth in the north sea and with it, re-evaluating the ns levy.
this goes completely against the starmer/ milliband double act at cop30 whereto quote starmer's speech 'the uk is doubling down on the fight against climate change as an investment in future generations'.
utter *******s of course. however in a few weeks time we will find out wether starmer is so enthralled with net zero that he is willing to wipe out the labour party, or wether a microcosm of common sense may prevail at the budget.
place your bets accordingly.