Member Info for Davydenko33

If you think that Cineworld's future is dictated purely by two blockbuster movies being delayed over the next two months, then you are more ignorant that I previously thought. The majority of punters don't just go to blockbusters. There are many films waiting to go.

Do you only get your news sources from one side, it might pay to widen your horizon a little bit. Come away from the Guardian and CNN now and then and get some perspective.

" the majority of punters will only go to movie theaters if there is a box office draw lulling them in."

Not convinced about this. Actually cinema for many is a weekly habit, more people go to cinema than football. They don't just not go for months on end when a blockbuster is not on.

In 6 months time it will be Christmas. My logic is this, I am average at 80p (higher than I would like). But it is my belief that on Christmas Day, this share price will be higher than 80p. I think you have to see this as a long-term investment.

If you get all your news from Guardian, CNN and so forth you'll believe the world is about to end. If you read Fox News you'll believe there is not a pandemic.

The truth as always is somewhere in between.

Good luck and Merry Christmas

Exactly.

I agree Chris.
And in addition cinemas will be a chance to do something fun and practice social distance away from the mindless lot who don't seem to care anymore. No alcohol, safer families, people staying in one place for the duration.

A delay to big films is sensible. Much better to delay a short while if it means getting more public confidence and bigger audience. Better for us in the big picture.

Not particularly enlightening but a short video on the failed Cineplex deal:
https://youtu.be/Ub_vfT8lvkQ

Fingers crossed Friday is not as bad as Wednesday and Thursday...

It is certainly volatile, but Covid I think is going to became more of a regional issue than a national one perhaps. Cinemas may close in Texas, they may close in the North-West at time, in Scotland at others and so on. But no full-on shutdown as we saw in March imo. Not saying it will not affect the release of films of course. We shall see, certainly a little uneerving but fingers crossed.

I think you make a good point to illustrate how quickly this share went back up. I am holding at an avg of 82p and considered a sell earlier in the week at 80p, and maybe a rebuy later. Wish I had now! Like you though I remain confident in Cine long term.

Remember Covid and the US is very much factored in to this price. It is not new news that 70% plus of cine is in America. Spikes and outbreaks are going to be the norm that's why shares are 70p and not £1.40. But a rise in cases does not mean the end, as much as a fall in cases doesn't mean it's all over. It's a bumpy ride and was always going to be.

Investeroid, where is your source for saying several states are worried their hospitals will soon be over capacity?

This share price was 76p at close last Monday and could easily close at 76p next Monday.

People like to write what they want to happen. If you held a gun to their head for an accurate prediction, they would not necessarily give that answer. People like to be optimistic and read optimism, guess it is human nature. But yeh, definitely take with a pinch of salt anyone who says it is definitely going up or down (me included!). The real truth - no one is really sure especially in these times!

No point arguing on a forum here guys. It is going to be a bumpy rise and was always going to be. The only plus side of this drop today is it should stop the nightly posts of "This will be £1 tomorrow" b**locks". If the US gets it's house in order at some point we will be fine.

For me the SP is massively dependent on developments in the US at the moment.
Some more encouraging virus news over there and I think we are good to go. The cinema element I am not worried about, film can and will survive everything and the big screen will always have a place.

I think it will, but it will probably need some positive virus news from the US to do so. When that happens and they start opening up things should be good. Investeroid's post this morning was a good analysis I think, the security of the additional loan funds is useful too.

Thanks Investeroid, agree totally. I was also concerned about the debt situation and this is really reassuring. Still feel like I am punting against the US pandemic slightly but then who isn't at the moment. Film and cinema will be around forever and will survive this, and hopefully an upturn in SP won't be far away. I'm interested to see how the film times will be staggered at my big cineworld here in Leeds.

And perhaps we have used up all the good weather and the rain and cold will drive up cinema audiences comes mid-July!

Thanks, an interesting read.

A good analysis there. Not as optimistic as you about 225-270p in December, but definitely see good things ahead. I hope your estimate proves correct :-)

AMC shooting up in the States early on today, hope to be able to have full seating without masks by thanksgiving.

Just be careful with CFD's as racandfz says the margin calls can make things tricky.

JB not allowed to vote