RE: General Economic Indicators20 Sep 2018 08:32
Back in 2008, the signs were everywhere. People were borrowing too much, banks were throwing money around like confetti to people who couldnt afford it. IVA's were all the rage, technicalities were letting people rip up debts to Credit card companies as card limits had been raised without an authorising signature on a new Credit Agreement form.
The signs were there for an issue
I pre-empted it by selling my house 2 months before the crash and went into rented accommodation on a 6month let.
It was the best call of my life.
Within 12months the equity I wouldve had was wiped off the value of the house that I had sold.
So, fast forward to today and do I see the same threats and the answer is quite simply yes and no.
No we dont have the same issue with banks lending irresponsibly but when I look at the debts and liabilities of the ECB and the Euro then its terrifying.
When, not if that goes belly up then who can predict the fall out and knock on effects accurately.
The Euro is doomed post Brexit and it will be Germany left holding the baby. So prepare for a huge depression on the continent and all those doomsayers about Brexit will be silenced as it will appear that we got out of Dodge just in time.
We wont be immune from the situation as our own debts are still not under control but UK PLC is not about to go bust anytime yet as far as i'm concerned.
As long as post-Brexit the City remains largey intact and able to function freely, then I can see the UK being a safe haven for foreign exchange and maybe just maybe we will be robuat enough to weather the worst of it.
As I see it today, there are so many issues looming on the horizon which could potentially bite everyone of us, from Brexit, the collapse of the Euro to the $US being challenged as the international currency as I know that once again Russia, China are vying for change and with Saudi basically owning US debt through the holding of US Treasury Bond, then if China and Russia manage to convince Saudi to jump ship to their vision of the world then frankly all bets are off as the 2008 crash, Brexit and the collapse of the Euro will pale into insignificance.
Thats why Trump is doing what hes doing now, berating China and Russia whilst at the same time bolstering allied financial support and relations with Saudi.
How this global power struggle will end up then who knows? But im expecting a pretty bumpy ride personally and at the first sign of the initial domino falling then im heading off into Gold quicker than Speedy Gonzalez
Just my thoughts and fingers crossed, the "who can pee up a wall higher" one upmanship games dont escalate into something far worse than uncertainty in the financial markets