RE: Windfall tax: UK set to announce 40% levy on oil and gas firms16 Nov 2022 18:16
North Sea oil and gas production will be hit by hiked windfall tax, says Investec
The UK jeopardises future North Sea oil and gas production and the country’s reliance on carbon intensive overseas vendors if the windfall tax is toughened up tomorrow, argued an investment analyst group.
Investec predicts that expanding and raising the Energy Profits Levy will have damaging “medium term consequences” such as a more rapid decline in North Sea production, accelerated decommissioning in existing projects and a greater dependence on higher emission imports.
It could also have”implications for the wider supply chain” with around 120,000 jobs linked to the North Sea across multiple sectors of the economy including transport, infrastructure and manufacturing.
The investment group expects a 25-75 per cent drop in the value of exploration projects over the duration of the tax, and has reduced its recommendation on Harbour, the largest UK North Sea producer.
It has now dropped its recommendation from buy to hold, reflecting higher uncertainty around the development of the continental shelf.
This follows equally gloomy forecasting from investment group Stifel, which warned last week that the UK risks no new investment in the North Sea oil and gas sector if taxes are hiked.