RE: Bank of England to Cut Interest Rate to 0%...3 Feb 2021 23:21
The Bank of England will cut its basic interest rate and raise its quantitative easing programme to support the lockdown-ravaged UK economy, according analysts at major pan-European lender and investment bank.
Société Générale says that much has changed since the Bank's economists released their last set of forecasts back in November, with a harsh lockdown being introduced in January materially shifting the economy's outlook for the worse.
As such, policy makers will act by increasing the stimulus they on offer to the struggling economy.
The move would likely come as a surprise to the market as the consensus view is that the Bank is willing to keep interest rates unchanged and look through current difficulties facing the economy, choosing to focus on a spring rebound in activity.
A cut would therefore likely wrong-foot the market and undermine the rally in the British Pound, potentially triggering a sharp reversal in value, as noted in our week-ahead forecast article.
"Since the last Monetary Policy Report MPC meeting in November last year, the fight against the coronavirus has faced many fresh challenges which have hurt the short-term economic outlook. The emergence of new variants and the alarming increase in the level of infections, hospitalisations, and deaths has put the NHS under increasing, massive strain," says Brian Hilliard, an economist with Société Générale.
DYOR